Virgo-Pisces Alliance No.228: Why is Trent Dilfer Andrew Luck's biggest fan?

So, unless you have been under a rock for the past two years, you probably know the name of Andrew Luck.  You probably know that he is expected to the be the #1 over-all pick in the up-coming 2012 NFL Draft.  Unless something really unexpected happens, the Colts will take him and begin their rebuilding effort in verity & sooth.

I will blog about Jim Irsay's very interesting dilemma soon, but not this time.

One of the things football fans have noticed over the course of the past several months is that Andrew Luck has many advocates.  In fact, he has almost zero (0) detractors.

So far, only Phil Simms has risen in critique of Andrew Luck.  I have the greatest respect for Phil Simms, and I view him as one of the top-analysts of the game.  However, I think his critique of Andrew is off-base.  I just don't see it his way.  I just can't see on film what he claims to have seen on film.  When Phil says Andrew doesn't make NFL-type throws, I simply can't understand what he's talking about.  I've seen almost nothing but NFL-type throws out of the kid.  The weight of evidence is greatly against Phil.

Among all of the many advocates Andrew has, one stands out above all the rest.  That would be Trent Dilfer.  Trent Dilfer has said extraordinary things about Andrew.  Like what?  How about "Andrew Luck has no flaws".

Wow... that would make Andrew Luck perfect, now wouldn't it?  I rate the kid pretty dang high, but I would stop shy of perfect.  It's pretty clear that Trent doesn't shy away from that statement.  He believes Andrew will have the most glory-ladened career of all the young'ins coming up in the 2012 NFL Draft.  Trent really believes he is the perfect QB candidate.

It's to be expected.  Trent is a March 13, 1972 Pisces dude.  Andrew is a September 12, 1989 Virgo kid.  That's almost a perfect 180, folks.  The circular distance between March 13 and September 12 is almost exactly 180 degrees.  That is the most powerful angle for attraction, balance, and complementary.  Sirius 1.1 doesn't score them that high, but this is one of those false negatives I like to harp upon.  Looking at the two charts in comparison, I can see obvious things the scoring engine missed.  Dilfer likes Luck better than Sirius says.

Incidentally, Trent is birthday-buddies with my brother.  My brother is 3 years younger.  Once upon a time, I was Trent Dilfer's biggest advocate in the NFL Draft.  I was the leader of the Draft-Trent movement among the Ram fans back 1994.  I was so incandescently pissed-off  when my Rams failed to broker a deal in that draft that I literally took a couple of years off from football.  I knew we were going to suck.  1994-1998 were absolutely dreadful years, only exceeded by our recent stretch of time.  I maintain those would have been much better years if we had made a deal and selected Trent.  Our biggest problem in those days was the QB position.

If you have been keeping track of super-recent events, you know that a debate is emerging inside NFL business circles.  The question is simple.  Who is better:  Andrew Luck of Robert Griffin III?  This is natural occurrence.  We always have too much time on our hands this time of year, ergo we chew over questions and non-questions a thousand times.  Just a couple of months ago, this question would have been considered untenable.

I want to make some specific predictions about this coming debate:

1. It will rage on until draft day
2. RGIII's knee injury will not deter this debate.  Andrew had one also.
3. The Fire/Air Alliance will back RGIII
4. The Earth/Water Alliance will back Andrew Luck.
5. Mike Mayock is going to be torn.  He's next door to Andrew and 180 degrees away from RGIII.  He's going to struggle with this one.  I bet he loves both of these kids.
6. The same goes for Mel Kiper.
7. Todd McShay will side with RGIII
8. Trent Dilfer will continue to be Andrew Luck's biggest advocate.
9. Kurt Warner & Rich Eisen will side with Andrew Luck.

Oh, so now Florio is taking a stab at McShay?

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/03/31/todd-mcshay-backlash-builds/

In one of the most bluntly crafted hit-pieces written since I myself last took up the keyboard, Mike Florio just took a wild stab at Todd McShay. His points are as follows:

1. McShay mislead Jevan Snead into entering the draft
2. McShay is bad, Kiper is good.
3. McShay is bad because he has no connections, and he doesn't like Clausen
4. Kiper is good because he works hard, and does like Clausen
5. The best amateur draftnik is Mike Mayock

HAHAHAHhaahahahaha! Oh bouy! Where or where do I begin deconstructing this pile of shit??? So many choices, so little time. This has to be one of the most topsy-turvy, upside down, ass-backwards, perversions I've read in years! Almost every aspect of this hit piece is entirely wrong, but then again, so too are the McNabb rumors and the Tebow rumors. Fabrications, one and all.

For the record, allow me to state the following:

1. Since the day Jevan Snead entered the draft, persistent reports have held that Snead had trouble with his grades. College was not his strong suit. Some reports stated Snead was close to loosing his athletic eligibility due to academic probation. I seem to recall reading this on Mel Kiper's ESPN blog, as well as other places.
2. Although I am not hyper about either of these two 'scouts', McShay is much better and Kiper Jr is a lot worse. All you have to do to prove this case is go through Kiper Jr.'s words on the numerous (39) all-out-bust QBs in the 1st around of the draft over the past 30 years. There's your proof. McShay doesn't have a deep track record, but he is presumed innocent until proven guilty.
3. The greatest single feather in McShay's cap is that he is not going along with the Jimmy Clausen rubbish. If I object to his ratings of Clausen, I object to the fact that he has not gone far enough in critiquing this kid. Everyone stops with the intangibles. You should go further than that. I don't believe the kid has the level of talent everyone says he does. The Pro-System he comes from did little to help Brady Quinn, a more athletic QB candidate, to succeed in this league. Clausen is an obvious bust risk, but no one speaks openly about his risk factors. Clausen is vastly more risky than McShay leads one to believe.
4. Kiper is good because he works hard and likes Clausen??? NO, NO,NO, NO! Well, I respect the work, but he is absolutely and completely wrong about Clausen. Clausen is a true junior from an mediocre program. If he is drafted in the 1st round, the actuarial tables predict he has a 90% chance of going bust. That is way to high a risk for me. Florio could not be more wrong. He is just as wrong and wrong can be here. Florio must have come from Notre Dame or something. I understand he is an Italian Lawyer from West Virginia and life long fan of the Vikings. They don't say where he got his degree, though.
5. Mike Mayock is no amateur. Mike Mayock is the draft scout for NFL Films. He is the guy who does most of the scouting for the NFL Network. Calling Mike Mayock an amateur draftnik is like calling Chief Justice John Roberts an amateur lawnik. Jesus is that bogus! Furthermore, if Florio ever watched the NFL Network, he would know that Mayock says many of the same things McShay says about Clausen. He's a little less blunt about it, but he raises very similar concerns. Like McShay, Mayock doesn't go far enough in stating the risks associated with Clausen's profile.

We should note in passing that an unnamed source is attributed with all of these comments, but I don't believe that for a moment. Florio crafted this piece ex-nillo, as has done in so many other cases.

One final point, I want it to be known that I am a fan of Jevan Snead. I think he has a lot more athletic ability than Clausen does. Somebody is going to get a real steal in this kid. I saw a couple of his better games against Tennessee and LSU, and I was impressed. That blood-bath in the Cotton Bowl aught to be called The Body Bag Game II. I don't hold that one against him, sometimes all you can do is win, and he did.

It should be noted that Snead took one of the most vicious hits in College Football history in that Cotton Bowl game. Not only did he come back in a few minutes and play again, he actually played better after the hit! He'll never have to prove his manhood in any other way.

The one question about Jevan, and its a big one, is his intellect. Does he have the brain of an NFL QB? Given the complexity and deception of NFL defensive schemes these day, every NFL Quarterback has to be pretty damn smart. You also have to be studious, disciplined and diligent in your mental preparation. This preparation does resemble academic work, but the subject is a lot more fun. I hold out the possibility that Snead's mental effort will rise the moment he is able to work exclusively with the subject he loves: Football.

Kiper vs. McShay on Clausen

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B2I24RxRl1g

I just viewed a lovely video on the YouTube. Mel Kiper and Todd McShay compared their latest mock drafts. A major disagreement ensued over Jimmy Clausen. Todd is really coming up in my estimation. Although the situation was quite uncomfortable for both of them, they were willing to disagree sharply on the air.

Like me, McShay seems to believe that Clausen has the highest bust potential in the draft. He focuses on maturity, which is another way of saying he is a true junior, and too young to be in this situation. He also focuses on the fact that Notre Dame has not produced a QB in a very long time. We just had that very same discussion in 2007 over Brady Quinn. The Quinn story just reached a major negative milestone. Teams would be crazy to ignore this outcome.

As always, Kiper continues to propound the notion that Clausen is the most NFL ready QB in the past 5 years. Why? Quinn was drafted 3 years ago with the exact same specifications. Weren't they equally ready? We know how that story turned out.

McShay and Kiper agree that Clausen will probably go in the top 10. What they don't agree on is whether that is justified. Kiper says he should go in the top 10. McShay says he will in the top 10, but he should not. Kiper is an advocate. McShay is not.

How about if we reach for a tie-breaker? Mike Mayock says Clausen is the #2 quarterback prospect, but he doesn't really like the kid. He rates Clausen outside his top 20 prospects for this draft. He too believes that Clausen will probably go high, but he should not. He has not used the dreaded bust word, but he raises many of the same issues that McShay does. So far, Mayock does not seem to think that Clausen will go in the top 10. Neither does Charlie Casserly. You can see his Mock Draft here:

http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-hq-videos/09000d5d81702380/Casserly-s-mock-draft

I get the impression that Clausen's stock is sagging. Kiper is doing what he can to keep it afloat, but he is ice skating uphill. The tide is going the other way. It is my impression that Mike Holmgren's all-out purgative dump of Brady Quinn has rattled the league. Jamie Dukes (one of my favorite guys) was an exponent of Clausen during the combine. Now he has gone silent. In Jamie's case, I know it was the Quinn-dump that stopped the train. Jamie was astounded that Holmgren saw no value in Brady at all.

Ad meanwhile, both Bradford and Tebow seem to be rising. Bradford doesn't have much headroom to rise before he reaches the top. It looks like he is going to get there. It looks like Tebow has silences the 5th & 6th round talk. It looks like he is going no later than the 3rd, and probably in the second. Colt McCoy keeps trucking along as a steady 2nd round pick.

It will be interesting to see who goes first: Tebow or McCoy. I would suggest Tebow, but you never know.

The Rams will be hosting Colt McCoy soon. If we should deal the #1 and go for a QB in the 2nd, it will likely be Colt McCoy. So far we have showed no interest in Tebow, save for a few web pages.

The grand sports media conspiracy and ESPN

Well, well, well... how the tide has turned for Tim Tebow this morning. Todd McShay appeared on NFL Live last night and said very flattering things about Tebow's progress. Colin Cowherd, a famed Tebow detractor, hosted Herman Edwards this morning and had a discussion about Tebow. Cowherd moderated his position extensively... With Herm Edward's help. Everyone on ESPN seems to be warming to Tebow. Mel Kiper Jr has not been heard on this subject.

All of this reminds me of grand media conspiracy I have heard about many times over the past 20 or so years. You see, the sports media needs consumer/customers. Media outlets need you every day. Big dips in interest are really bad business. It's hard to make up for the big dippers during the big spikes. If there were any strategies one might employ to even out interest to some degree, it would make a big difference to the bottom line.

Are there any such strategies? Sure. How about if we build up a super hero, and then we tear him down, and then build him up again. A larger than life figure in trouble is a compelling news story indeed. We see it all over the place. Especially if and when the kid is tremendously popular, sticking him in a rough patch will make for a compelling drama. You can produce an award winning soap opera as the kid tries to dig himself out of a hole.

So you build 'em up to tear 'em down, and tear 'em down to build 'em up.

Tebow's draft journey sure looks like it matches this profile. It looks like ESPN may well have applied one of their cookie-cutter templates for drama to Tim Tebow. Tebow was the perfect dupe for this as well. A tremendously popular kid, perceived as being too perfect, loaded with athletic ability and achievements. Fans in every one of the 32 NFL markets are campaigning for their teams to take Tebow.

Guess what folks at home? Tebow has no future. He just isn't an NFL Quarterback. Bad mechanics, comes out of the spread, he can't read a defense, and he's stupid. He's a good guy and all, but he just can't play NFL football. It's tragic really.

There is a traumatized reaction in the nation. People all over the country gasp. Fans in all 32 NFL cities look at each other in astonishment, and demand clarifications of this verdict. ESPN is happy to oblige. Just tune in. Kiper will give you the word.

Disappointed fans ask themselves if it is really true. Some lemmings go along with it. Those with age, experience, and confidence in their eyes reject Kiper's conclusions. An Internet battle of the blogs ensues. As the war heats up, ESPN's NFL team and the NFL Network do much better business than expected during this off season.

Then Tebow stumbles at the Senior Bowl. The critics become ferocious. The defense bears down. Tebow does well at the combine. Bullets are exchanged. Tebow does very well at his ProDay. NFL HQ invites Tim Tebow to come to Radio City Music Hall on draft day.

Suddenly ESPN turns around. Tebow is really an okay guy. With a year or two of development, he will find his way in the NFL. He's a developmental project, but he will be fine. Tebow got some pretty fine endorsements last night on NFL Live. Troy Aikman, Archie Manning, Bob Greise, and John Gruden all gave him ringing endorsements. It's looking good for Tebow again.

The people are relieved. We would hate to see such a great kid disappointed in life. Rejoicing begins in the nation. The 32 campaigns to draft Tebow go back to regular business.

Some very bitter college football fans who lost to Florida are extremely pissed, and write some fantastically overwrought rants. Check this one out. That one is so overheated, so over the top, it must have been designed over the course of several days or several minutes.

Anyhow... I am pretty irritated with myself. How the hell did I fall prey to such a simple diversionary ploy? At ripe old age of 43, after 30 years of observing the sports media, how did I buy into this stunt?

Because I am one those guys campaigning for my team to take Tebow, that's why. Still I should have been smarter about this.

Tim Tebow 2.0, no consensus

Well, I've been trolling through reports on Florida's pro day. It would appear that neither Steve Spagnuolo nor Bill Devaney were in attendance. At least there were no reports of them being in attendance. This is a very bad sign for those of us hoping the Rams will select Tim Tebow. You would think they would be present for the 2.0 presentation if they had any interest. Given the quantity of great candidates on the Gator team, I am surprised that they would skip Gainesville this year.

Who knows... perhaps the scant reports are faulty. Perhaps we will discover otherwise tonight on Path to the Draft.

In any case, there is no consensus on Tebow's new motion. Some say it still looks funky. Some say that there is improvement. Some say that he switched one hangup for another. Some say his accuracy is average. Some say he doesn't throw tight spirals. Some say he still drops his arm low when rolling out. Some quip that McShay will hate the new motion worse than the old. That's a slap on McShay, not Tebow.

Who knows. We'll have to wait until tonight for Path to the Draft. We should be able to see the footage there.

Am I downing Jimmy Clausen's draft stock by design?

Had an interesting conversation with a buddy on mine named Colin yesterday. I have mentioned him a few times. He runs most of the Mann Theatres North of the 10 freeway in Los Angeles County. He is a 49er fan, from my old neighborhood in my home town of Fresno. It should also be noted that he wants the 49ers to take Tim Tebow. We are at loggerheads over this.

Colin accused me of intentionally downing Clausen's stock, by design, with the purpose of selecting the kid in the 2nd round. I was flabbergasted. On the face of it, the argument is silly for a lot of reasons.

1. I am not Billy Devaney. I don't get to pull the trigger on draft day.
2. Who the hell listens to me? Can I actually down someone's draft stock with my meager presence online?
3. Nothing horrifies me more than the notion of the Rams selecting Clausen. In fairness, Clausen probably does not like the idea of playing behind the Rams half-squat line either.
4. I sincerely hope that either the Seahawks or the 49ers will select Clausen at #14 or #16, thus squandering one of those surplus picks, and preventing our rivals from getting that much better.

At the moment, the scenario which plagues my worried mind the most is the following: What happens if Clausen falls out of the first round and is sitting on the board at #33 where the Rams select for the second time? My blood runs cold. Beads of sweat form on my brow. My blood pressure rises. My heart palpitates. I am in a state of terror at that point, if such a thing comes to pass. Pray the Seahawks or the 49ers will spare us from this horror.

Surely, a 2nd round pick spent on Clausen is a wasted pick. You may think I am wrong, but you are wrong. I have said many times that this kid is never going to make it in the NFL. He is not a Sunday quarterback. I have no idea in the world why you believe his skills will translate well into the NFL. I see no such prospect for the kid. Watching him for 3 years, I never even suspected that people like Mike Mayock, Bucky Brooks, Mike Lombardi, Charles Davis, Todd McShay, or even Mel Kiper Jr. would give this kid a first round grade. He is a second (or third) day draft pick at the very best. I guess I should have known that Kiper would fuck up.

So why are the scouts fucking up? Let me tell you why:

1. Older scouts still consider Notre Dame to be a football factory. Far from suffering negative prejudice, as some foolishly suppose, Notre Dame kids enjoy a certain degree of unmerited favor.
2. Dynastanalingus: The Patriots were the last reigning dynasty in the NFL. That dynasty ended several years ago. Charlie Weis was a fairly undistinguished but noteworthy member of that dynasty... Before he went on to become a failed head coach at Notre Dame. He has a lot of unmerited favor because of this fact. Weis has campaigned for Clausen in a way he never did for Brady Quinn. Scouts have taken this seriously.
3. The Pro System Bias: Many scouts do not keep track of current events in the NFL. If they did, they would know the Spread (or at least a form of it) is now the most successful passing attack in the NFL. I guess nobody noticed that the Patriots have been using the Spread since 2007, and it spread around from there, if you will pardon the pun. I guess nobody noticed that both the Colts and Saints used a lot of it this year. The Spread has its origins in the NFL. The Bengals basically invented the thing in 1988 where Boomer Eisason ran out of Zebra Shotgun (and without a huddle) most of the game. It moved from there to Buffalo where they called it the K-Gun. In short, the advantage Clausen enjoys is really not much advantage at all. The disadvantage Spread kids suffer is not really that significant. The Spread is a conventional Pro System now.
4. Clausen has great statistics: In his junior year, maybe. So what? Tebow has awesome statistics through his entire career. According to the critics this does not make him Sunday material. The same has been said of Colt McCoy. If stats don't count for Tebow or McCoy, they don't count for Clausen either. Discard this point.

You need to ask yourself the following serious true/false question: Notre Dame + Dynastanalingus + Pro System Bias = NFL Franchise Quarterback? The answer is false. If this is your reasoning, you reason fallaciously. There are plenty of logical fallacies and factual errors in the case for Clausen.

Let us pray that Devaney is not snookered by the fallacious reasoning of the scouts. Let us pray that the Seahawks or the 49ers will ensure that the Rams do not select Clausen. We'll all be much happier that way.

The tremendous falibility of NFL talent scouts, 1st round QB Busts

NFL Talent Scouts don't fail once in a long while. They don't succeed more than they fail. The fail more than they succeed. This is especially true when it comes to evaluating the quarterback position. NFL talent scouts fail miserably in this regard.

Hall of Famer Bill Walsh often said that very few men are qualified to evaluate the Quarterback position, and even fewer are qualified to coach that position. The context of that quote was NFL talent scouts. He was specifically crapping on NFL talent scouts. Walsh was counter-punching NFL talent scouts who had the temerity to criticism him for taking Joe Montana in the 3rd round. They felt Walsh should have gone after some real talent like Jack Thompson or Steve Fuller. What...? You never heard of those guys? They went in the first round in 1979. The scouts said they were great. Don't those scouts look like a ship of fools today? Hind site is 20/20, and they pretty stupid to me.

In 1979, the scouts were also highly critical of the Giants for selecting Phil Simms in the first round, so Montana had company.

Let us catalog the failures of talent scouts like Mel Kiper & Mel Kiper Jr over the course of many years. How many busted prospects have they given us? How many first rounders did not pan out? How many guys should have been taken higher?

1. Jack Thompson 1979
   
2. Steve Walsh Chiefs 1979
   
3. Marc Wilson Raiders 1980
   
4. Mark Malone Steelers 1980
   
5. Rich Campbell Packers 1981
   
6. Dave Wilson Saints 1981
7. Art Schlichter Colts 1982
8. Todd Blackledge Chiefs 1983
9. Tony Eason Patriots 1983
10. Chuck Long Lions 1986
11. Kelly Stouffer Cardinals 1987
12. Steve Walsh Cowboys 1989
13. Timm Rosenbach Cardinals 1989
14. Jeff George Colts 1990
15. Andre Ware Lions 1990
16. Dan McGuire Seahawks 1991
17. Todd Marinovich Raiders 1991
18. David Kilingler Bengals 1992
19. Tommy Maddox Broncos 1992
20. Dave Brown Giants 1992
21. Rick Mirer Seahawks 1993
22. Heath Shuler Redskins 1994
23. Jim Druckenmiller 49ers 1997
24. Ryan Leaf Chargers 1998
25. Tim Couch Browns 1999
26. Akili Smith Bengals 1999
27. Cade McNown Bears 1999
28. David Carr Texans 2002
29. Joey Harrington Lions 2002
30. Patrick Ramsey Redskins 2002
31. Byron Leftwich Jaguars 2003
32. Kyle Boller Ravens 2003
33. Rex Grossman Bears 2003
34. J.P. Losman Bills 2004
35. Alex Smith 49ers 2005
36. Jason Campbell Redskins 2005
37. JaMarcus Russell Raiders 2007
38. Brady Quinn Browns 2007

We'll stop there at 2007. The history of the 2008 and 2009 class has yet to be written. Those kids look good, but it is way too early to begin bust evaluations. Let's not rush to judgment before a significant body of evidence has been accumulated.

There are some real howlers on that list of busts. There are names that even I, a total NFL addict, don't remember. There are years where the entire crop of 1st rounders went bust. Even in 1983, the greatest year for QBs ever, a couple went bust.

There are some names that really hurt me also. Dave Carr and Cade McNown are two of those. Dave Carr is Fresno State boy, and a hometown hero. Cade McNown went to UCLA shortly after I graduated. It was a great epoch for us. I enjoyed him a lot.

There are some things that all those names have in common. They were all highly touted by men like Mel Kiper Jr. They were all selected in the first round. They all went bust.

How many QBs over this period of time were drafted in the 1st round and panned out? Let's see...

1. Phil Simms Giants 1979
2. Jim McMahon Bears 1982
3. John Elway Colts 1983
4. Jim Kelly Bills 1983
5. Ken O'Brien Jets 1983
6. Dan Marino 1983
7. Jim Everett Oilers 1986
8. Chris Miller Falcons 1987
9. Jim Harbaugh Bears 1987
10. Troy Aikman Cowboys 1989
11. Drew Bledsoe Patriots 1993
12. Steve McNair Oilers 1995
13. Peyton Manning Colts 1998
14. Donovan McNabb Eagles 1999
15. Daunte Culpepper Vikings 1999
16. Carson Palmer 2003
17. Eli Manning 2004
18. Philip Rivers 2004
19. Ben Roethlisberger 2004
20. Aaron Rodgers Packers 2005
21. Vince Young 2006
22. Jay Cutler 2006

There are also some borderline and indeterminate cases in these draft years. What do you call the following list of players?

1. Vinnie Testaverde Bucs 1987
2. Trent Dilfer Bucs 1994
3. Kerry Collins Panthers 1995
4. Chad Pennington Jets 2000
5. Michael Vick Falcons 2001
6. Matt Leinart Cardinals 2006

During this 28 year epoch there have been 10 years where Quarterbacks were drafted and none of them turned out as players.

1. --- 1980
2. --- 1981
3. --- 1990
4. --- 1991
5. --- 1992
6. --- 1994
7. --- 1997
8. --- 2001
9. --- 2002
10. --- 2007

That is a lot of failed crops.

What in view of all this data what are we to say about the quality of our NFL scouts when it comes to identifying and marking 1st round talent at the QB position?

• 66 QBs were selected in the first round in the 28 years between 1979 and 2007
  
• NFL teams (guided by scouts) are 22-38-6 at the QB position in the first round
• This means that if you select a QB in the first round 33.33% chance of getting a player.
• I have not confirmed this, but when you control for senior status, the rate goes up to 50%
• I have not confirmed this, but when you control for underclassmen, the rate goes down to 10%

What do you say about a class of men with the 33.33% winning percentage? I would say that your guesstimates have a 33.33% chance of coming true. I would say your FICO is only 33.33% of the theoretical max. I would say you fucking suck.

There is another systemic failure that you must consider. A significant number of Hall of Famers are quarterbacks. A significant number of those quarterbacks were drafted outside the first round, or not drafted at all. When Favre and Warner go in, two more will be added to that roll call. I submit to you that each and every time that happens, a Scoutting failure has occured. The proof is that Yellow Jacket on the back of that non-first rounder. A gem came out of college and you failed to identify him. You fucked up.

I will consider all these scouting failures in another article soon.

The moral of this story is pretty clear cut: You better not trust what Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay say about quarterbacks in this year's draft. They are not reliable sources. They have more busts than successes on their records. They have a credit rating of 33.33% with me. Only 33.33% of what they say is true; 66.667% is false.

Pay more attention Mike Mayock. He's got better street cred.