Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Sam Bradford's 2010 season; the over/under number is 3

Las Vegas is not yet taking over/under action on Sam Bradford, but they should be. The over/under number should be 3. Three is a magic number, yes it is.
  1. With what pick will Sam Bradford be selected in the 2010 draft? The over/under number is 3.
  2. The week of the 2010 season where Sam Bradford gets his first NFL start: The over/under number is 3.
  3. The number NFL starts before Sam Bradford suffers a season ending injury? The over/under number is 3.
  4. The number of touchdown passes Sam Bradford throws before his season ending injury in 2010? The over/under number is 3.
  5. The number of sacks Sam Bradford will suffer before taking his season ending injury? The over/under number is 3.
Those should be your 5 magic over/under bets on Sam Bradford, oh ye Las Vegas lines. How would I be them?
  1. Under: Whether he is taken by the Rams or the Browns, Bradford will probably be the top pick.
  2. Under: The Rams will throw Sam in the shark tank immediately. The Browns will start Del Homme twice and after 14 turnovers, Sam goes in.
  3. Under: If the Rams select Bradford, he's going to have a tough time making it to week 3 before suffering his season ending injury in 2010. If the Browns take him, he'll have a tough time making it to week 5 before the Steelers or Ravens kill him.
  4. Under: If the Rams select Bradford, he's going to have to find a little target named Donnie Avery for legit TD passes. It will be hard to squeeze off 3 of those before Sam suffers his season ending injury of 2010.
  5. Over: I think Sam will be sacked more than 3 times before suffering his season ending injury of 2010. This is true regardless of whether the Rams or Browns select him.
It sucks to be Sam. I feel bad for you man. The stars are poorly configured for your near-term future. I wish you the best. I hope I am wrong. I hope you turn out to be the A.P. Offensive Rookie of the year, but I certainly cannot bet on it.